Several on-chain data indicates a bullish year-end for Bitcoin’s price.
Iceberg orders from institutional buyers are probably the reason why the price of BTC is not reacting to the influx of these large buyers.
Despite the elements supporting an upward trend in the price, the $11,000 bar remains a major obstacle.
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While the price action remains stuck in lateral accumulation, the Immediate Edge app analyst believes that the current divergence is bullish for the BTC.
Several on-chain data point to a bullish close in the year 2020 for Bitcoin (BTC).
The leading cryptomony in terms of market capitalization has increased by almost 50% since the beginning of the year. That said, while the bullish case remains strong for BTC, price declines below $10,000 could occur in the near term. This could provide more opportunities to accumulate cheaper coins.
A bullish 4th semester for Bitcoin?
In a tweet published on September 30, analyst Willy Woo provided evidence supporting a bullish 2020 close for the BTC price. According to the analyst, the current growth in activity from new participants is a sign of an imminent upward movement in the price.
Data from the Glassnode on-chain analysis platform shows a considerable increase in the number of new entities. However, this increase has not yet resulted in any significant upward movement in the price, which Woo describes as a discrepancy.
Bitcoin New Entities
The discrepancy shown in the graph above is probably due to institutional buyers choosing to use „iceberg orders“: large buy orders deliberately split into smaller limit orders to mask the true size of the position.
MicroStrategy, the Nasdaq-listed company that recently adopted BTC as a cash asset, reportedly used a similar technique when it acquired Bitcoin for $425 million. Iceberg orders also avoid massive market movements for one-time wholesale purchases.
In addition to new entities, Bitcoin’s ribbon chart of difficulty is another indicator of an upcoming upward move for the BTC. This ribbon of difficulty thus tracks the impact of mining on the BTC price.
The general rule of thumb for this measure is that phases of compression translate into bearish price action, while phases of expansion indicate an upward price movement.
In his analysis, the statistician revealed that Bitcoin’s ribbon of difficulty came out of a compression phase. The compression phase had been maintained since the crash of the price caused by the coronavirus during „Dark Thursday“ in mid-March. The measure has now swung upwards, with the beginning of a „healthy expansion“.
Although the outlook for Bitcoin’s fourth quarter 2020 seems optimistic, the BTC price is still unable to stay above the $11,000 mark. However, it has also set a new record in terms of the number of consecutive days above $10,000.